Sunday, February 28, 2010

Reasoning cogently or Bing Right in Fact?

Question#4: What is the difference between reasoning cogently and being right in fact? Which is better, to reason incorrectly to a true conclusion or to reason well to a false conclusion?

Per the book “Use of reason in everyday life” by Howard Kahane and Nancy Cavender, the statement of “Reasoning correctly and getting a true conclusion are unfortunately not the same thing”, can be clarified and shown to be correct. Any one of us can reason correctly and get a false conclusion as well as reason fallaciously and get a true conclusion. An example of this would be in history’s past there has been scientist that have reasoned correctly from what was known at the time, to get a conclusion that superconductivity occurs only at temperatures very close to absolute zero, only to have this conclusion to be false. Another example is when some people believe in the astrology read that they will have a good day, week, or month just because the newspaper or magazine column says they will due to the alignment of the stars in the sky, and if they have a good day, for completely different reasons that have nothing to do with the astrology read that day or week, or even where the stars are positioned, it could have been from the blessing they received from family members, co-workers, boss, church family, a break from the teacher, etc.
It is better to reason incorrectly to a true conclusion than to reason well to a false conclusion. But in the long run, it is wiser to take the time, educate oneself, and research a topic or question so that correct reasoning can be used to establish a right answer. The answer is to be correct in the conclusion to be established. Another example of this is in daily life, people often equate being smart with being successful, as if success proves reasoning has been cogent, but it doesn’t, nor does failure prove reasoning fallacious. In reality, it may be that smart people “play the odds”, try to reason well, and take their chances with what they have to work with and the circumstances they’re in, and in the long run or in most cases, smart people do a lot better than those whose reasoning is excessively fallacious.
Pat Kaehler.

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